Weather

Home runs and warm air: Weather’s impact on baseball

The crack of a bat, the cheering of a crowd and the vendor guy yelling “hot dogs here, get yer hot dogs here…” On a warm and humid night, you may see more baseballs leave the park. Here is why.


What You Need To Know

  • Warm temperatures and high humidity are better for baseball travel
  • It all has to do with the density of the air
  • Cold days with low humidity lead to fewer home runs<

While it’s easy to see the effect that weather like rain and wind can have on a baseball game, one aspect often overlooked is an important one: temperature. And, along with that, humidity.

In warm air, the molecules are less dense (more spread out).

On the flip side, in colder air, the molecules are more dense (closer together). 

This affects how the ball moves through the air.

To get extra technical for a second: Humid air holds more moisture. That water vapor is really light and helps push heavier molecules like oxygen and nitrogen out of the way, giving the ball a better lane to travel.

On days and nights where there is more humidity (higher dew points), this increases the chance for the ball to travel farther.

Of course, in the grand scheme of things, we are only talking about an extra few inches of travel here.

However, when you factor in air temperature, it gets more interesting. With all things being equal, every 10 degrees above 75 degrees can help push a baseball about three feet farther. This according to research done by Alan Nathan, a former physics professor at the University of Illinois. Want to read that? You can read much more about his baseball research here.

A hot day near 95 degrees with a dew point near 70 is gross weather to stand around in, but excellent for making baseballs travel.

So think back to the games you’ve been to or watched on TV. Think about when the home runs were hit. You will see a lot more of them in the summer months and on an extra humid night.

Moreso, you will see a lot more home runs hit in ballparks in warm/humid climates (Texas, Florida and even California). The weather plays an even larger role in baseball than we knew.

Of course, being a great baseball player also has a significant part.

Our team of meteorologists dives deep into the science of weather and breaks down timely weather data and information. To view more weather and climate stories, check out our weather blogs section.

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