Tropical Storm Julia forms in the Caribbean

Julia became the tenth named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season on Friday, Oct. 7.  

Traveling through the Caribbean Sea, Julia will move west toward Central America, strengthening as it gets closer. It could potentially become a Category 1 hurricane before landfall in Nicaragua.

From there, it’ll take a more northwesterly track and weaken over land.

Hurricane Watches are in effect for San Andres, Providencia and the Santa Catalina Islands in Colombia.

Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for the coast of Colombia from Riohacha eastward to the Colombia-Venezuela border.

For now, its westward path over the Caribbean Sea is bringing gusty winds, swells and locally heavy rain to parts of the northern Colombia, northern Venezuela and the ABC Islands.

Computer forecast guidance agrees that Julia will track into Central America.

Spaghetti models or plots show a series of individual computer forecast models together on one map. They are useful to give insight into whether multiple models are in agreement on the path of the storm but they do not address the storm’s forecast intensity, winds, flooding and storm surge potential or other data. Tap here for more details on how to best use these models.

See how the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season has gone so far.