The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a low chance of tropical development in the Gulf of Mexico within the next five days. In this case, it’s for a system that already exists, but in the Pacific Ocean.
Tropical Storm Agatha formed in the eastern Pacific Ocean early Saturday morning. It’ll become a hurricane before making landfall in southern Mexico late Monday or early Tuesday.
While it’ll dissipate over Mexico not long after, its remnants could make it into the Bay of Campeche in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico next week.
Odds of Agatha’s remains redeveloping there within the next five days are low. However, it’s a situation to be watched, since that is an area of the Atlantic basin where storms tend to develop early in the season.
As we saw over the past couple of weeks, social media posts sometimes will show a single computer model forecast many days away. Find out why that’s not a wise thing to follow and the things you should look out for.